By Peter Mullin March 4, 2026
My best advice a manic market By Peter Mullin, CEO/Financial Consultant Clients, we have never been in it for last year's results. Instead, we are betting on future prospects. We know life is not perfect. But over time, it will be okay. There are life lessons we can draw on from investing. One lesson involves taking bad periods with a grain of salt. Uncertainty is the price we pay for an investment’s potential rewards. Iran is striking back at the Middle East and allies like a multi-headed medusa. This did just occur in June of 2025. The difference is there is a presumed push for a regime change. It is a nail biting time, once again. My best advice is to keep the long view in mind during times that test our wits. But there is war. There is hyperinflation. This market is out of control. I can't lose anymore…I won’t live long enough to recover. How long has it taken a market to bounce back? Surprisingly, markets bounce back quite quickly from the real terror of missiles, mortars and military strikes. JP Morgan’s chart shows that it takes 2-3 weeks (or less) on average. The average drawdown is about -5.3%.
March 3, 2026
This week on LPL Market Signals, Chief Equity Strategist Jeff Buchbinder and Chief Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum, discuss potential stock and bond market impacts of the airstrikes on Iran over the weekend. Tracking: #1072379
March 3, 2026
Kristian Kerr | Head of Macro Strategy Last Updated: March 02, 2026 Over the weekend, the United States and Israel conducted a coordinated series of missile and drone strikes against Iran, targeting several high-value military installations in an effort to hinder Iran’s nuclear development efforts. These operations resulted in the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, marking a significant escalation and immediately heightening regional tensions. Iran quickly retaliated by launching a broad series of missile attacks directed not only at Israel but also at multiple Gulf states, including Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain. The repercussions were felt across the region. Several Gulf countries responded by shutting down their airspace and closing their equity markets. The conflict also affected global energy flows. Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway that carries about 20% of the world’s oil supply, came to a near standstill as shipping companies diverted vessels away from the area for safety reasons. Plus, Qatar shuttered liquefied natural gas production at the world’s largest export facility after being targeted by an Iranian drone strike. President Donald Trump stated that U.S. strikes on Iran would continue, signaling that tensions are likely to remain elevated for the next few weeks. From a market perspective, the energy market is the primary way through which this crisis is likely to impact global markets. Any sustained disruption to oil or natural gas flows, especially if both severe and long lasting, have the potential to influence inflation expectations, weigh on business confidence, and elevate volatility across asset classes. In simple terms, the more intense and prolonged the geopolitical shock, the larger the likely market impact. This pattern was already evident when markets opened on Monday. Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil prices, briefly touched $82 per barrel as traders responded to the possibility of tighter supply conditions. A sustained period of elevated prices would place upward pressure on inflation expectations, and that in turn could have broader consequences for both equity and interest rate markets. However, for such a persistent rise in crude prices to materialize, markets would likely need evidence of a more prolonged or even total shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz. A disruption of that scale would represent a meaningful escalation relative to what has occurred so far and would justify a more substantial risk premium in energy markets. There is also a political dimension tied to Iran’s internal stability, particularly regarding how the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) chooses to respond. Whether it opts to pull back or escalate further will play a major role in determining how much of the current shock reflects elevated risk premiums versus a true disruption to physical supply.  Oil Prices Spike as Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Stalls
February 18, 2026
LPL Market Signals
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By Peter Mullin March 4, 2026
My best advice a manic market By Peter Mullin, CEO/Financial Consultant Clients, we have never been in it for last year's results. Instead, we are betting on future prospects. We know life is not perfect. But over time, it will be okay. There are life lessons we can draw on from investing. One lesson involves taking bad periods with a grain of salt. Uncertainty is the price we pay for an investment’s potential rewards. Iran is striking back at the Middle East and allies like a multi-headed medusa. This did just occur in June of 2025. The difference is there is a presumed push for a regime change. It is a nail biting time, once again. My best advice is to keep the long view in mind during times that test our wits. But there is war. There is hyperinflation. This market is out of control. I can't lose anymore…I won’t live long enough to recover. How long has it taken a market to bounce back? Surprisingly, markets bounce back quite quickly from the real terror of missiles, mortars and military strikes. JP Morgan’s chart shows that it takes 2-3 weeks (or less) on average. The average drawdown is about -5.3%.
March 3, 2026
This week on LPL Market Signals, Chief Equity Strategist Jeff Buchbinder and Chief Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum, discuss potential stock and bond market impacts of the airstrikes on Iran over the weekend. Tracking: #1072379
March 3, 2026
Kristian Kerr | Head of Macro Strategy Last Updated: March 02, 2026 Over the weekend, the United States and Israel conducted a coordinated series of missile and drone strikes against Iran, targeting several high-value military installations in an effort to hinder Iran’s nuclear development efforts. These operations resulted in the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, marking a significant escalation and immediately heightening regional tensions. Iran quickly retaliated by launching a broad series of missile attacks directed not only at Israel but also at multiple Gulf states, including Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain. The repercussions were felt across the region. Several Gulf countries responded by shutting down their airspace and closing their equity markets. The conflict also affected global energy flows. Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway that carries about 20% of the world’s oil supply, came to a near standstill as shipping companies diverted vessels away from the area for safety reasons. Plus, Qatar shuttered liquefied natural gas production at the world’s largest export facility after being targeted by an Iranian drone strike. President Donald Trump stated that U.S. strikes on Iran would continue, signaling that tensions are likely to remain elevated for the next few weeks. From a market perspective, the energy market is the primary way through which this crisis is likely to impact global markets. Any sustained disruption to oil or natural gas flows, especially if both severe and long lasting, have the potential to influence inflation expectations, weigh on business confidence, and elevate volatility across asset classes. In simple terms, the more intense and prolonged the geopolitical shock, the larger the likely market impact. This pattern was already evident when markets opened on Monday. Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil prices, briefly touched $82 per barrel as traders responded to the possibility of tighter supply conditions. A sustained period of elevated prices would place upward pressure on inflation expectations, and that in turn could have broader consequences for both equity and interest rate markets. However, for such a persistent rise in crude prices to materialize, markets would likely need evidence of a more prolonged or even total shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz. A disruption of that scale would represent a meaningful escalation relative to what has occurred so far and would justify a more substantial risk premium in energy markets. There is also a political dimension tied to Iran’s internal stability, particularly regarding how the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) chooses to respond. Whether it opts to pull back or escalate further will play a major role in determining how much of the current shock reflects elevated risk premiums versus a true disruption to physical supply.  Oil Prices Spike as Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Stalls
February 18, 2026
LPL Market Signals

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